Putin brandishes the nuclear threat in Ukraine. Is it a void?
As the conflict between Russia and Ukraine reaches its third month, experts are looking into the possible use of nuclear weapons by Russian President Vladimir Putin.
- Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is not going as well as military analysts predicted.
- Despite Russia’s unpredictable leader, few see a major risk of nuclear war.
- Nuclear risk assessments are largely based on public statements and official doctrine.
Even Vladimir Putin – destructive, isolated, determined to restore his version of Russia’s greatness – surely wouldn’t use nuclear weapons in Ukraine, would he?
The short answer is, like so many things with Putinwe don’t know – probably not.
The Russian President’s invasion of Ukraine is not going as smoothly or as quickly as many military analysts predicted. Ukraine put up fiercer resistance to Russian troops than expected. The Pentagon says Moscow’s poor tactics, from communications to coordinating supply lines, appear to have hampered its progress. The flow of weapons to Ukraine by its Western allies has strengthened its chances of victory.